Western United vs Melbourne City Prediction, Lineups & Odds

We’re Going Over With Our Total Goals Bet

Western United should combine with Melbourne City to yield at least three goals. On this basis, we’re playing the Total Goals market backing Over 2.5 at 1.62 which will give us a nice return if this outcome happens.

City Claimed 1-0 Victory in Last H2H

Western United drew their last game 1-1, with the action taking place at AAMI Park against Western Sydney. The Tarneit club had 42% possession and recorded five shots on target, with Hiroshi Ibusuki registering the goal.

Melbourne City were beaten 3-1 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Melbourne Victory at AAMI Park. Aurelio Vidmar’s team were 53% in the possession stakes and managed five shots on goal, with Andrew Nabbout on the scoresheet.

City have won the last two clashes against United. They achieved winning scorelines of 2-1 and 1-0 at AAMI Park. In the previous 10 meetings between these teams, there has been one draw. City have won five games and United four.

Western United – Last 10 League Games

United have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. The Green and Black have averaged 47.6% possession and 6.1 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 2.0 goals from 4.9 shots on goal, 11.7 attempts and 4.2 corners.

Top scorer Matthew Grimaldi has found the net 4 times, Michael Ruhs 3, with Riku Danzaki and Daniel Penha both scoring 2. Daniel Penha is the leading assists maker on 3.

Melbourne City – Last 10 League Games

City have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, with an average of 6.9 shots on goal, 14.4 attempts and 2.5 goals. The Cranbourne East outfit average 56.8% possession, 7.3 corners taken and 5.4 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 10.4 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

Tolgay Arslan is top of the team’s scoring charts with 7 goals, Leo Natel has 4 and Jamie Maclaren is on 3. Leo Natel and Steven Peter Ugarkovic have managed 4 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Western United (confirmed lineup): Matthew Sutton, Tate Russell, Tomoki Imai, Dylan Leonard, Charbel Shamoon, Riku Danzaki, Rhys Bozinovski, Angus Thurgate, Matthew Grimaldi, Oli Lavale, Hiroshi Ibusuki.

Melbourne City (confirmed lineup): Patrick Beach, Callum Talbot, Kai Trewin, Samuel Souprayen, Harry Politidis, Steven Peter Ugarkovic, Zane Schreiber, Nathaniel Atkinson, Andreas Kuen, Marco Tilio, Andrew Nabbout.

Expert A-League Analysis

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest injuries and suspensions and the form guide also informs our football picks. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Western United vs Melbourne City league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 WU games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 WU games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 City games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 City games on the road.

There could be some merit in backing Over 2.5 Goals when it comes to this A-League match. We think that this is a value betting angle and we’re happy to take the 1.62 that is currently available.

Those feeling bullish when it comes to goals being scored might find the larger odds appealing when it comes to Over 3.5 Goals. This requires both sides to bag a combined four or more.

Over 2.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 61.9% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.