Week 1 was one of the worst displays of football I have ever seen but it didn’t matter for our props as I went 11-3 on straight bets for +7.53 units including alts!
A few of the plays were some of the easiest winners I have ever had. Mecole Hardman was lined all week like he would be WR4 but in fact was the WR6. I mentioned in our write-up I didn’t think he would run a single route but would play on special teams. That’s exactly what happened, cashing out U9.5 receiving yards bet.
Monotone (Stu) alerted me that they dropped Mike Williams reception total on Monday morning, a play that turned out to be an incredible look. We bet Mike Williams under 2.5 receptions, fully knowing they would work him back slowly returning from an ACL, just like we saw from Breece Hall last season. Williams didn’t see a single target on 9 total snaps.
DeAndre Hopkins under 51.5 receiving yards was another great one. He caught just one pass on 17 snaps, as there was real doubt whether he would even play or not. If sportsbooks keep lining guys who aren’t going to play much at 75% of their normal line, this season is going to be absolutely incredible.
Two of our three losses came by the hook, with Zeke under 39.5 rushing yards and Gardner Minshew under 32.5 attempts, both losing by the hook. I’m definitely not complaining though after we ran pure on David Montgomery rushing for 46 yards in overtime, hitting both his over 52.5 and alt over 87.5 we hit at +500.
All-in-all it was a fantastic week of props for me while Ryan Noonan and Hunter Huss both popped a couple of units, and our pick’em plays won 66% of plays in Jake Lotenberg’s first week at the helm of our product there.
Enough gloating about Week 1; let’s get into Week 2 props.
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