Monday, December 23, 2024

Trump’s tariffs would drive up consumer prices: National Retail Federation

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National Retail Federation (NRF) CEO Matthew Shay warned that shoppers could face higher prices on an array of goods if President-Elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imports to the United States are implemented. 

“The adoption of across-the-board tariffs on consumer goods and other non-strategic imports amounts to a tax on American families,” Shay said in a statement to FOX Business. It will drive inflation and price increases and will result in job losses.” 

The NRF, the largest U.S. retail trade group, estimated in a recent study that President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed new tariffs could cost American consumers between $46 billion and $78 billion in spending power annually.

FOX Business’ reached out to Trump’s campaign for comment. 

INFLATION RISES 2.4% IN SEPTEMBER, ABOVE EXPECTATIONS

A shopper carries bags at the Polaris Fashion Place mall on Black Friday in Columbus, Ohio, US, on Friday, Nov. 24, 2023. (Matthew Hatcher/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)

Under the proposals, a universal 10-20% tariff would be imposed on imports from all foreign countries and an additional 60-100% tariff would be imposed on imports specifically from China. Six categories of goods would be impacted, including apparel, toys, furniture, household appliances, footwear and travel goods.

The NRF said some U.S. manufacturers may benefit from the tariffs, but the gains for U.S. producers and the Treasury would not outweigh the overall losses to consumers. The organization emphasized that low-income families would get hit especially hard.

Shopping

Soppers look at clothes while others walk around Twelve Oaks Mall on November 24, 2023 in Novi, Michigan.  (Emily Elconin/Getty Images) / Getty Images)

The trade group used a $40 toaster oven as an example, estimating that the proposed tariffs would boost the cost of the product to between $48 to $52. The NRF also said a $50 pair of athletic shoes would jump to $59 to $64. 

Overall, consumers would have to collectively pay $13.9 billion to $24 billion more for apparel, $8.8 billion to $14.2 billion more for toys, and $8.5 billion to $13.1 billion more for furniture, according to NRF’s survey. They would also have to pay $6.4 billion to $10.9 billion more for household appliances, $6.4 billion to $10.7 billion more for footwear, and $2.2 billion to $3.9 billion more for travel goods, according to the NRF.

HOUSING MARKETS THAT COULD SEE THE BIGGEST IMPACT FROM FALLING MORTGAGE RATES

Still, Shay said the industry is ready to work with the incoming administration and members of Congress to enact tax, trade and regulatory policies that he says will “make America more competitive, increase domestic investment and create jobs.”

HOUSING MARKETS THAT COULD SEE THE BIGGEST IMPACT FROM FALLING MORTGAGE RATES

Brian Dodge, president of the Retail Industry Leaders Association, said “inflation was clearly a motivating factor” in the election results and that “policymakers should hear their concerns loud and clear as debates on taxes and tariffs take center stage.”

“Retailers are hopeful the incoming Trump Administration and Congress take a strategic approach to international trade, with policies that shield families from higher prices on consumer goods.”

If effective trade policies are implemented, Shay said the U.S. can become more competitive with research, development and innovation.

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