Tuesday, November 5, 2024

Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd’s (SHSE:601116) earnings trajectory could turn positive as the stock hikes 16% this past week

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Sanjiang Shopping Club Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601116) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 17% in the last month. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. After all, the share price is down 37% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

While the stock has risen 16% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let’s see what the fundamentals can tell us.

View our latest analysis for Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Looking back five years, both Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd’s share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 6.0% per year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 9% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

SHSE:601116 Earnings Per Share Growth September 30th 2024

This free interactive report on Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd’s earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It’s fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd, it has a TSR of -31% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd shareholders are down 25% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that’s worse than the broader market decline of 6.0%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there’s a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year’s performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It’s always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example – Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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