Premier League prediction: Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Thursday match | Sporting News

Tottenham are in a ferocious race for a Champions League place as they travel across London to meet Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on Thursday.

Following their north London derby defeat, Spurs are in a desperate situation, sitting fifth in the Premier League table, which is no longer a Champions League qualifying position after England clubs were left humbled in European competition and lost their grip on an extra UCL spot.

They are seven points behind Aston Villa but hold two games in hand, so the pressure is on to keep pace with fourth-placed Villa and put the pressure on. Villa are still alive in the Europa Conference League semifinals, and have remaining domestic fixtures against Liverpool and an in-form Crystal Palace still to come, so there could be opportunities to capitalise on down the stretch.

Chelsea, meanwhile, are floundering in ninth, six points behind sixth-place Manchester United and 12 back of Spurs in fifth, meaning their hunt for a European place in the table is almost sure to fall short. The Blues have been done-in by a poor run of form, failing to win either of their last two games while also being bounced from the FA Cup in the semifinals across the latter half of April.

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Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction, odds

• Moneyline lean: Tottenham (+175)
• Score prediction: Chelsea 1-3 Tottenham

Spurs can consider themselves unlucky in the north London derby, as they were quite even with Arsenal on the run of play but were punished for poor finishing and a few glaring defensive errors. On the whole, they were right in the mix for a result.

Chelsea, meanwhile, were pummeled by Arsenal not long ago and have proven well behind the top clubs in the Premier League this season, sporting a lengthy injury list and proving mentally incapable of lasting a full 90 minutes against a quality opponent.

The Blues have won just two of their 11 games against the top six clubs in the Premier League table, and while one of those came against Spurs in the reverse fixture, that 4-1 result was largely thanks to a 33rd minute red card to Cristian Romero and another before the hour mark to Destiny Udogie, which saw Chelsea cruise with the two-man advantage. Given another shot at this matchup, Ange Postecoglou will have his side ready for revenge.

Chelsea vs Tottenham match facts

• Date: Thursday, May 2, 2024
• Kickoff time: 7:30 p.m. local (2:30 p.m. ET / 11:30 a.m. PT)
• Location: Stamford Bridge (London, England)
• Referee: Robert Jones, VAR: Michael Salisbury
• Last meeting: Tottenham 1-4 Chelsea (Nov. 6, 2023 | Premier League)

Chelsea vs Tottenham best bet

• Pick: Spurs to win 2H & over 1.5 total goals
• Odds: +320 (BetMGM)

Spurs have proven a second-half side this season, while Chelsea have often capitulated late in games.

It’s so unevenly distributed in both directions that if you took just the final 45 minutes of games this year, Spurs would be fourth in the Premier League table, while Chelsea would be (gasp) 17th! Chelsea have won the second half in just 10 of their 33 Premier League matches, while Spurs have won 20 and drawn five.

Chelsea vs Tottenham prop bet

• Pick: Tottenham 16+ total shots
• Odds: -110 (FanDuel)

These two teams can struggle at times with finishing, but one thing is for sure, and that’s both clubs having a go on goal. Specifically Tottenham, who are married to Postecoglou’s style of play to a fault. Whether they’re up four goals or down four, Spurs will continue to play an absurdly high line and look to generate high turnovers.

Spurs are third in the Premier League in possession won in the final third, behind only title contenders Man City and Arsenal, and they are third in the league in final third pressures behind Everton and Bournemouth. As a result, Spurs have recorded 16+ shots in three of their last five league games, and even got halfway there while two men down last time out against Chelsea.

The Blues aren’t nearly as reliant on volume as Spurs, so instead of the massively inflated match total threshold of 33, stick with backing Spurs to lead the attacking run of play.

Chelsea vs Tottenham live stream, TV channel

U.S. Premier League rights-holder NBC has decided to place this match exclusively on its streaming service Peacock, where every match of the EPL season can be found.

Domestically in the UK, this match will be televised on Sky Sports platforms, while in Canada the match can be found on exclusive streaming service Fubo.