Monday’s lone game on the NHL schedule finds the Ottawa Senators (28-20-4) visiting the Nashville Predators (18-26-7). The opening puck drop at Bridgestone Arena will be at 7:30 p.m. (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Senators vs. Predators odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Senators lead 1-0
Ottawa closed out an undefeated 4-game homestand (4-0-0) by bludgeoning the Minnesota Wild 6-0 Saturday. The Senators, who outshot Minnesota 52-16, have tallied 11 goals over their last 2 games.
Nashville is on a streak of a different kind. On Saturday, the Predators were shut out 3-0 at the Pittsburgh Penguins, and they have lost 4 in a row. That streak includes one home game, but Nashville has otherwise played well at home over recent weeks. Since Dec. 21, the Preds have gone 6-2-0 on home ice.
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Senators at Predators odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:32 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Senators -102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Predators -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Senators +1.5 (-235) | Predators -1.5 (+190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Senators at Predators projected goalies
Linus Ullmark (12-7-2, 2.38 GAA, .915 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Juuse Saros (11-21-6, 2.84 GAA, .902 SV%, 4 SO)
Ullmark was activated from the long-term injured reserve (back) Sunday. A start Monday would mark his first since Dec. 22. The veteran netminder owns a career .919 SV% on the road and a .928 SV% against Nashville.
Saros stopped 33 of 35 pucks in Saturday’s game against the Pens. That performance stood in stark contrast to a shaky January that saw the 29-year-old clock a lowly .865 SV%. Saros owns a .922 SV% across 11 career games against the Sens.
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Senators at Predators picks and predictions
Prediction
Predators 4, Senators 3
Moneyline
Nashville has played well of late at home, and Ottawa — which despite its last 2 games has had some scoring droughts over recent weeks — figures to be a bit over-bet in this road tilt.
The last 10 games have seen the Predators up their positive spread of high-danger chances in 5-on-5 play, and they have found more scoring consistency than the Sens over recent weeks.
FanDuel Sportsbook offers a better leverage line here. TAKE NASHVILLE (-118).
Puck line/Against the spread
No interest: PASS.
Over/Under
The Under is 7-1 across the last 8 meetings between the Sens and Preds, but a zag is called for in this one.
Ottawa (2.83 goals per game) and Nashville (2.61 GPG) both rank as bottom-third offensive clubs, but both have 5-on-5 expected-goal and puck-possession analytics that indicate much better “should-be” numbers. For starters, the Sens and Preds rank 31st and 32nd in the league in 5-on-5 shot percentage (hockey-reference.com).
Both clubs are decent on the power play overall. Ottawa is 5-for-its-last-13 in that regard, and Nashville is operating at a 28.9% clip since Jan. 4. Both sides have spent plenty of time in the sin bin over recent games.
The OVER 5.5 (-112) — again on FanDuel Sportsbook — is the strongest play in this match-up.
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