The Minnesota Timberwolves will meet the Denver Nuggets in a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs.

The Timberwolves are a slight 2-point favorite against the Nuggets. The game features a point total of 204.5.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 11:29 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

  • Spread: Minnesota -2
  • Total: 204.5
  • Moneyline: Minnesota -131, Denver +110

Nuggets at Timberwolves odds, spread, & more

Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (- 2)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (204.5)

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 112 – Nuggets 108

Moneyline

  • Minnesota has won 46, or 75.4%, of the 61 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
  • This year, Minnesota has won 43 of 57 games when listed as at least -131 or better on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Minnesota has a 56.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Denver has gone 4-6 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40% of those games).
  • Denver has a record of 2-3 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer (40%).
  • Denver has a 47.6% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

Against the spread

  • The Timberwolves score just 3.4 more points per game (113) than the Nuggets allow (109.6).
  • Minnesota is 35-17-1 against the spread and 43-10 overall when scoring more than 109.6 points.
  • Denver is 35-26-2 against the spread and 53-10 overall when it scores more than 106.5 points.
  • Minnesota is 36-22-3 against the spread and 51-10 overall when it gives up fewer than 114.9 points.
  • The Timberwolves are the NBA’s 18th-ranked scoring team (113 PPG), while the Nuggets rank sixth in points per game allowed (109.6) in the league.
  • Denver’s squad is currently the 14th-ranked scoring team in the NBA (114.9 PPG), while Minnesota’s team is best in points allowed per game (106.5).
  • The Timberwolves have totaled 529 more points than their opponents this season (6.5 per game on average), and the Nuggets have scored 431 more points than their opponents (5.3 per game).
  • Minnesota’s average implied point total this year is 10.9 more points than its implied total in Thursday’s game (113.9 implied points on average compared to 103 implied points in this game).
  • This season, Minnesota has recorded more than 103 points in 73 games.
  • The 116.5-point average implied total on the season for Denver is 15.5 more points than the team’s 101-point implied total in this matchup.

How to watch Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

  • Game Day: Thursday, May 16, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch on Fubo!
  • NBA League Pass: The most live games plus NBA TV. Free trial