Friday, January 3, 2025

Is Intel stock done going down?

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Intel’s stock (INTC) will enter 2025 in the penalty box, with an uncertain timeline for when it may return to the rink.

Shares of Intel have plunged 60% year to date, badly lagging the 29% advance for the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC). Meanwhile, shares of rival chip player Nvidia (NVDA) have surged 173% this year as the company takes a wide lead on artificial intelligence chip innovation compared to Intel and AMD (AMD). AMD’s stock is down 17% this year.

“I think to some extent they [the stock] can still go down, but I think most of it is priced in,” Manhattan Venture Partners head of research Santosh Rao said on Yahoo Finance’s Morning Brief (see video above). “They really missed the boat. I think the chips have evolved, and they still stayed with the original compute business, but now it’s more about training and AI and inferencing and all the other areas … so they need to catch on on that side. It’s going to take a while.”

To be sure, 2024 was not a stellar year for the storied chip giant.

Intel parted ways with embattled CEO Pat Gelsinger on Dec. 1.

Gelsinger led aggressive efforts to turn around the troubled US chipmaker for more than three years. Those efforts ranged from slashing thousands of jobs to improve costs and securing CHIPS Act money from the Biden administration to building chip-making plants and promising fast AI chips that compete with market leader Nvidia (NVDA).

A person familiar with the matter told Yahoo Finance at the time of the decision that the board had lost confidence in Gelsinger and that a change was needed before 2025.

Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger speaks during the 54th Annual Meeting of The Semafor 2024 World Economy Summit in Washington, D.C., on April 17, 2024. (Mandel NGAN / AFP via Getty Images) · MANDEL NGAN via Getty Images

Intel named CFO David Zinsner and former head of client computing Michelle Johnston Holthaus as the interim co-CEOs. Holthaus was also named Intel Products CEO.

Intel will likely fill the CEO role by bringing in a top name from outside the company, Wall Street sources told Yahoo Finance since Gelsinger’s departure.

Any permanent CEO will have a mess to clean up. That starts with repairing trust with investors after missed financial targets and deciding whether to continue chasing a foundry business. It also requires immediately stabilizing the financials.

When it announced earnings in November, Intel revealed $15.9 billion in total non-cash charges related to inventory write-downs and lower performance expectations for certain businesses, such as autonomous driving firm Mobileye (MBLY), in which it owns a majority stake.

The company reported a $5.8 billion operating loss at Intel Foundry — Intel’s upstart chipmaking business — on $4.4 billion in sales.

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