David Iben put it well when he said, ‘Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.’ It’s only natural to consider a company’s balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, BIG Shopping Centers Ltd (TLV:BIG) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can’t fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for BIG Shopping Centers
What Is BIG Shopping Centers’s Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, BIG Shopping Centers had ₪21.1b of debt, up from ₪18.5b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₪1.22b in cash leading to net debt of about ₪19.9b.
A Look At BIG Shopping Centers’ Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that BIG Shopping Centers had liabilities of ₪4.23b due within a year, and liabilities of ₪20.2b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪1.22b and ₪566.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₪22.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₪9.07b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we’d watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, BIG Shopping Centers would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
BIG Shopping Centers shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (15.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.1 times the interest expense. This means we’d consider it to have a heavy debt load. On a slightly more positive note, BIG Shopping Centers grew its EBIT at 13% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can’t view debt in total isolation; since BIG Shopping Centers will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it’s definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, BIG Shopping Centers recorded free cash flow of 44% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we’d expect. That’s not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
On the face of it, BIG Shopping Centers’s net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that BIG Shopping Centers’s balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we’re pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There’s no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet – far from it. For example, we’ve discovered 3 warning signs for BIG Shopping Centers (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it’s often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It’s free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.