Fantasy Football Week 13 Start ‘Em & Sit ‘Em Quarterbacks: Justin Herbert looks to bounce back vs. the Falcons

The weather in Green Bay for Thursday’s game between the Dolphins and Packers is expected to be dry and cold with wind around 10 mph. The temperature could be in the high 20s, and that’s not good for Tua Tagovailoa based on history.

Tagovailoa is only 1-7 with nine touchdowns and 12 interceptions when the temperature is below 50 degrees. He’s not worried about that, but Fantasy managers might be concerned.

“I’m excited to kill narratives, so let’s go,” Tagovailoa said Sunday. “Bring it on.”

He’s playing well of late with at least 21.5 Fantasy points in three of his past four games, including at least 29.5 points in his past two outings at home against Las Vegas and New England. But along with the weather, this Packers defense is a tough opponent.

Green Bay is No. 7 in fewest Fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks, and only Jalen Hurts in Week 1, Sam Darnold in Week 4 and Trevor Lawrence in Week 8 have scored at least 20 Fantasy points. That includes matchups with Matthew Stafford, Kyler Murray, C.J. Stroud, Jared Goff and Caleb Williams.

I’m hopeful that Miami’s new style of play this season — get the ball out quick and have sustained drives — helps Tagovailoa in Week 13, but I’m skeptical. I would only start him in Superflex and two-quarterback leagues.

As for Jordan Love, I’m slightly more confident in him than Tagovailoa despite the Dolphins being No. 3 in fewest Fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks, but I would prefer to use Love in just Superflex and two-quarterback leagues.

Love only has one game with more than 20 Fantasy points in his past four outings. And only three quarterbacks against Miami have scored at least 20 Fantasy points (Kyler Murray in Week 8, Josh Allen in Week 9 and Gardner Minshew in Week 11). Love also could be without Romeo Doubs (concussion) as well.

This should be a game where De’Von Achane and Josh Jacobs do most of the damage. As for the quarterbacks, this might not be the best week to trust them given the weather for Tagovailoa and the way both defenses have played the entire year.