In Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the Denver Nuggets will go up against the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Nuggets hit the court as 4.5-point favorites against the Timberwolves. The matchup’s over/under is set at 207.5.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 3:29 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

  • Spread: Denver -4.5
  • Total: 207.5
  • Moneyline: Denver -189, Minnesota +156

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds, spread, & more

Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 4.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (207.5)

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 112 – Timberwolves 110

Moneyline

  • Denver has come away with 53 wins in the 72 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
  • This season, Denver has come away with a win 41 times in 51 chances when named as a favorite of at least -189 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Denver has an implied victory probability of 65.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Minnesota is 10-11 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.6% of those games).
  • When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +156 or longer, Minnesota has a record of 2-6 (25%).
  • Minnesota has an implied moneyline win probability of 39.1% in this game.

Against the spread

  • The 114.9 points per game the Nuggets score are 8.4 more points than the Timberwolves allow (106.5).
  • Denver has a 35-26-2 record against the spread and a 53-10 record overall when scoring more than 106.5 points.
  • Minnesota has put together a 35-17-1 ATS record and a 43-10 overall record in games it scores more than 109.6 points.
  • Denver is 29-24-2 against the spread and 44-11 overall when it allows fewer than 113 points.
  • The Nuggets are the NBA’s 14th-ranked scoring team (114.9 PPG), while the Timberwolves rank best in points per game allowed (106.5) in the league.
  • Minnesota’s squad is currently the 18th-ranked scoring team in the NBA (113 PPG), while Denver’s team is sixth in points allowed per game (109.6).
  • The Nuggets have totaled a total of 431 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 5.3 per game), and the Timberwolves have out-scored opponents by 529 points on the season (6.5 more per game).
  • Denver’s average implied point total this season is 10.5 more points than its implied total in Saturday’s game (116.5 implied points on average compared to 106 implied points in this game).
  • So far this season, Denver has scored more than 106 points in 65 games.
  • Minnesota’s average implied point total on the year (113.9 points) is 11.9 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (102 points).

How to watch Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

  • Game Day: Saturday, May 4, 2024
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena
  • NBA League Pass: The most live games plus NBA TV. Free trial