Brazil and Paraguay play at 9:00 PM ET on Friday, June 28 in the second match of the 2024 group phase (Group D). Brazil tied its first group-stage match against Costa Rica by a score of 0-0, and Paraguay is coming off a 2-1 loss to Colombia.

Brazil is the favorite with moneyline odds of -303 in this game. Paraguay’s odds are +863, and the moneyline odds of a draw are +400. The odds to hit the over on the 2.5-goal total are -127, and they are -102 to go under.

Soccer odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 8:01 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Brazil vs. Paraguay Betting Odds & Favorites

  • Favorite: Brazil (-303)
  • Underdog: Paraguay (+863)
  • Over/under: 2.5

Brazil vs. Paraguay Copa America 2024 Odds Insights

  • The two teams combine to average 1.5 goals per game fewer than the total for this matchup (2.5).
  • The over/under for this game is set at 2.5 goals, 0.5 goals higher than the two teams’ opponents scoring average.

Brazil Offensive Insights

  • Brazil scored 23 goals in 14 matches the past two years. On the other side, Paraguay gave up 11 goals in 12 matches.
  • Brazil’s goal differential in that time span was +3.

Brazil Moneyline Insights

  • Brazil has been favored in one match this tournament, and won none.
  • Brazil has not been a -303 favorite or greater this tournament.
  • Based on the moneyline, Brazil has a 75.2% implied chance of winning this match.

Brazil Leaders

  • Vinicius Junior tallied 15 goals and four assists in 29 games for Real Madrid in LaLiga last season.
  • This past season, Savio posted nine goals and 10 assists for Girona FC in LaLiga over the course of 37 games.
  • Over the course of 27 games for FC Porto in the Primeira Liga last season, Evanilson posted 13 goals and three assists.
  • Bruno Guimaraes, in 37 matches for Newcastle United in the Premier League last season, collected seven goals and nine assists.

Paraguay Offensive Insights

  • Paraguay has scored one goal in this competition (one per game). Brazil has not conceded a goal yet.
  • Paraguay’s goal differential (-1) is ninth in Copa America.
  • In terms of shots, Paraguay is 10th in the competition offensively (taking 11 per match), and Brazil is first defensively (conceding two). Looking at corner kicks, Paraguay is ninth offensively (taking 3 per match), and Brazil is first defensively (conceding one).
  • In terms of shot differential, Paraguay is seventh in Copa America at +2 per game.
  • Paraguay is first in the competition in chances created at zero per match, similar to its opponents’ average of zero.
  • Paraguay has scored one goal on 11 shots, converting 9.1% of its shots into goals (seventh in competition).
  • Paraguay is first in Copa America in converting its chances, scoring on % of them.

Paraguay Moneyline Insights

  • This tournament Paraguay has been an underdog in one match, and won none.
  • Paraguay has not been a +863 underdog or greater this tournament.
  • Paraguay’s chances of winning this match are 10.4%, according to the moneyline.

Paraguay Leaders

  • Mathias Villasanti played 30 games for Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS in the Brasileiro last season, tallying four goals and six assists.
  • Last season, Ramon Sosa took the field for 22 matches for CA Talleres de Cordoba in the Argentine Primera División, recording four goals and four assists.
  • Over the course of 14 games for Racing Club Avellaneda in the Argentine Primera División last season, Matias Rojas put up six goals and one assist.
  • Angel Romero, in 32 matches for SC Corinthians SP in the Brasileiro last season, recorded six goals and one assist.