In the 2024 quarterfinal at 9:00 PM ET on July 4, Argentina is matching up with Ecuador at NRG Stadium. Argentina beat Peru in its last match, while Ecuador grabbed the win against Mexico.

Argentina is favored to move on to the semifinals, with -227 moneyline odds in comparison to Ecuador’s +710. This match has a 2.5-goal over/under.

Soccer odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 5:01 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Argentina vs. Ecuador Betting Odds & Favorites

  • Favorite: Argentina (-227)
  • Underdog: Ecuador (+710)
  • Over/under: 2.5

Argentina vs. Ecuador Copa America 2024 Odds Insights

  • These teams score three goals per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 0.5.
  • The over/under for this game is set at 2.5 goals, 1.5 goals higher than the two teams’ opponents scoring average.

Argentina Offensive Insights

  • Argentina is fourth in Copa America in goals (five overall, 1.7 per game), and Ecuador is ninth defensively (three conceded overall, one per game).
  • Argentina’s goal differential (+5) ranks second in Copa America.
  • In terms of shots, Argentina is second in the competition offensively (50 shots, 16.7 per match), and Ecuador is 12th defensively (35 shots conceded, 11.7 per match).
  • Argentina has outshot opponents 50-19, and its +31 shot differential is first in Copa America.
  • Argentina is first in the competition in chances created at zero per game, similar to its opponents’ average of zero.
  • With five goals on 50 shots, Argentina is sixth in Copa America in terms of conversion rate (10%).
  • In terms of converting chances, Argentina is first in Copa America at %.

Argentina Moneyline Insights

  • Thus far this tournament, Argentina has been favored in three matches, and won every time.
  • Thus far this tournament, Argentina (-227) has not been this big a favorite.
  • Argentina has a 69.4% chance of winning this match, based on the moneyline.

Argentina Leaders

  • Lautaro Martinez took the pitch for 35 games for Inter Milan in Serie A last season, tallying 24 goals and two assists.
  • So far this season, Lionel Messi has taken the field for 12 matches for Inter Miami CF in MLS, compiling 11 goals and nine assists.
  • In 30 games for Benfica in the Primeira Liga, Angel Di Maria put up nine goals and 11 assists last season.
  • Julian Alvarez’s stat line last season included 11 goals and nine assists in 38 games for Manchester City in the Premier League.

Ecuador Offensive Insights

  • Ecuador has scored four goals in this competition (1.3 per game). Argentina has not conceded a goal yet.
  • With four goals scored and three conceded, Ecuador is sixth in Copa America in terms of goal differential.
  • Ecuador is fourth in the competition in shots (13.3 per game), and Argentina is third in shots conceded (6.3). Also, Ecuador is eighth in corner kicks per game (four), and Argentina is third in corners conceded (2.3).
  • In terms of shot differential, Ecuador is seventh in Copa America at +1.7 per match.
  • In terms of chances created, Ecuador averages zero per game, and its opponents average zero.
  • With four goals on 40 shots, Ecuador is sixth in Copa America in conversion rate (10%).
  • In terms of converting chances, Ecuador is first in Copa America at %.

Ecuador Moneyline Insights

  • This tournament Ecuador has been the underdog in one match, and won none.
  • Ecuador (+710) has not been this big of an underdog in a game this tournament.
  • The likelihood of Ecuador winning this match is 12.3%, based on the moneyline.

Ecuador Leaders

  • Enner Valencia tallied eight goals and three assists in 23 games for SC Internacional RS in the Brasileiro last season.
  • This past season, Angel Mena recorded four goals and three assists in 15 games for Club Leon in Liga MX Clausura.
  • Over the course of 35 games for Chelsea FC in the Premier League last season, Moises Caicedo posted one goal and three assists.
  • William Pacho concluded last season with no goals and three assists in 33 games for Eintracht Frankfurt (the Bundesliga).