Even though Chongqing Xishan Science & Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688576) posted strong earnings recently, the stock hasn’t reacted in a large way. We decided to have a deeper look, and we believe that investors might be worried about several concerning factors that we found.
View our latest analysis for Chongqing Xishan Science & Technology
Examining Cashflow Against Chongqing Xishan Science & Technology’s Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the ‘non-FCF profit ratio’.
Therefore, it’s actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it’s worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That’s because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
For the year to June 2024, Chongqing Xishan Science & Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.58. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥130.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥110m in the last year. We also note that Chongqing Xishan Science & Technology’s free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥110m. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Given the accrual ratio, it’s not overly surprising that Chongqing Xishan Science & Technology’s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥26m in the last twelve months. While it’s always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it’s very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Chongqing Xishan Science & Technology’s positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
Our Take On Chongqing Xishan Science & Technology’s Profit Performance
Chongqing Xishan Science & Technology had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Chongqing Xishan Science & Technology’s statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. With this in mind, we wouldn’t consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we’ve discovered 2 warning signs (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Chongqing Xishan Science & Technology.
In this article we’ve looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we’ve come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.