Teams looking to build off exciting wins meet on Sunday Night Football when the Kansas City Chiefs face the Atlanta Falcons. Kansas City rallied in the fourth quarter to beat Cincinnati 26-25 last Sunday, while Atlanta rallied in the last two minutes to defeat Philadelphia 22-21 on Monday. The Chiefs (2-0), who were 6-2 on the road in 2023, won the AFC West at 11-6 a year ago. The Falcons (1-1), who were 5-3 at home last season, finished third in the NFC South at 7-10.
Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 3-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Falcons odds via the SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 46.5. Before locking in any Falcons vs. Chiefs picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up!
Now, the model has simulated Chiefs vs. Falcons 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and Falcons vs. Chiefs betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for Chiefs vs. Falcons:
- Chiefs vs. Falcons spread: Kansas City -3
- Chiefs vs. Falcons over/under: 46.5 points
- Chiefs vs. Falcons money line: Kansas City -168, Atlanta +141
- ATL: Falcons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in five of their last seven games at home
- KC: Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 gamesÂ
- Chiefs vs. Falcons picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Chiefs can cover
The Chiefs have difference-makers on both sides of the ball. Everyone knows things start with quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who is an excellent decision-maker. Mahomes has the touch and finesse on his throws to lay the ball in between defenders on all three levels. In his career, Mahomes is completing 66% of his throws for 28,866 passing yards and 222 touchdowns, while averaging 7.9 yards per completion.
On the other side, defensive end George Karlaftis is a disruptive force with the awareness to stop the run and get after the quarterback. In 36 career games, the Purdue product has 85 total tackles, 15 TFLs, and 17 sacks. Linebacker Nick Bolton provides Kansas City with an instinctive and reliable defender. He has 14 total tackles and two pass breakups thus far this season. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Falcons can cover
Running back Bijan Robinson is an energetic and electric playmaker in the backfield. Robinson has the elusiveness to make defenders miss while having great hands as a pass catcher. The Texas product also owns the vision to quickly redirect. This season, Robinson has 165 rushing yards while averaging 5.2 yards per carry. He also has reeled in nine passes for 68 yards.
Wide receiver Ray-Ray McCloud III has been a surprising playmaker for Atlanta. Even though McCloud III is 5’9, he isn’t afraid to go over the middle and absorb contact. The Clemson product has seven catches for 94 yards thus far. Tight end Kyle Pitts is another athletic weapon for Atlanta. Pitts can be a matchup nightmare due to his height (6’6) and speed. In four seasons, the Florida product has 155 catches for 2,095 yards and seven scores. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Chiefs vs. Falcons picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 49 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. Head to SportsLine to see its NFL picks.Â
So who wins Chiefs vs. Falcons on Sunday Night Football, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Falcons spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.