Twelve drivers remain in the hunt as the 2024 NASCAR playoffs continue on Sunday with the 2024 YellaWood 500 at Talladega Superspeedway. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET and this is one of two races remaining before the playoff field goes down to eight. The latest NASCAR at Talladega odds list Ryan Blaney, Joey Logano and Kyle Busch as the 11-1 co-favorites. Denny Hamlin and Brad Keselowski are next at 13-1. Michael McDowell won the pole on Saturday afternoon and his odds have dropped from 18-1 to 15-1.
Nearly half the field is getting odds of 28-1 or lower, so there are a lot of intriguing options for NASCAR bets this week. Before entering any 2024 YellaWood 500 picks, NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2024 NASCAR at Talladega predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
It called its first winner of the 2024 season with Kyle Larson in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout and predicted Denny Hamlin’s wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It also impressively nailed five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021, including nine last year and three in the first seven races this season. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2024 YellaWood 500 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Talladega leaderboard.
Top 2024 YellaWood 500 predictions
For the 2024 YellaWood 500, the model is fading NASCAR points leader William Byron, who is listed at 17-1 odds. Byron has a slight six-point lead on Ryan Blaney and Christopher Bell thanks to three wins on the season and 15 top-10 finishes. Consistency has been a key for Byron this year, who has finished all but four races and is tied for third in top-10 finishes.
He is coming off a runner-up finish at Kansas last week, but otherwise he’s been trending in the wrong direction, finishing ninth or worse in four of the previous five races.
He’s never won at Talladega and his average finish position of 15.3 at this track ranks below other contenders such as Blaney and Chase Elliott. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2024 NASCAR at Talladega picks
The model is also targeting two drivers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2024 YellaWood 500, and which longshots are must-backs for NASCAR prop bets? Check out the latest 2024 NASCAR at Talladega odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 18 winners, including three already this year.
2024 YellaWood 500 odds, drivers, lineup
See the full NASCAR at Talladega picks at SportsLine.
Joey Logano +1100
Ryan Blaney +1100
Kyle Busch +1100
Denny Hamlin +1300
Brad Keselowski +1300
Michael McDowell +1500
Austin Cindric +1500
Chase Elliott +1600
William Byron +1700
Tyler Reddick +2200
Christopher Bell +2200
Kyle Larson +2200
Ross Chastain +2200
Chris Buescher +2200
Bubba Wallace +2400
Martin Truex Jr. +2800
Todd Gilliland +2800
Alex Bowman +2800
Chase Briscoe +3300
Daniel Suarez +3300
Josh Berry +3700
Ty Gibbs +3700
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +3700
Ryan Preece +4300
Noah Gragson +4300
Erik Jones +4300
Justin Haley +4300
Corey Lajoie +4300
Austin Dillon +5500
Carson Hocevar +7000
Harrison Burton +7000
A.J. Allmendinger +7000
John Hunter Nemechek +7500
Zane Smith +8500
Shane Van Gisbergen +8500
Daniel Hemric +10000
Anthony Alfredo +18000
Cody Ware +18000
JJ Yeley +18000
B.J. McLeod +22000