After yet another under hit on Thursday Night Football to begin Week 3, unders are now 18-14-1 on the season, so anyone making NFL bets would be wise to take notice. Passing numbers are down in the NFL this season, a big contributor to this NFL betting trend. The Week 3 NFL schedule includes four games on Sunday with NFL totals of 40 points or fewer. The lowest Week 3 NFL totals included Steelers vs. Chargers (35), Titans vs. Packers (37), Browns vs. Giants (38.5) and Raiders vs. Panthers (40). How should you play those games and which Week 3 NFL odds should be on your radar? Before you make any Week 3 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. It’s also 8-5 on top-rated over/under picks since the start of that season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has scoured the Week 3 NFL odds and locked in five confident NFL over/under best bets. If you successfully parlay its picks, you’d be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model’s Week 3 NFL total picks at SportsLine.
Top Week 3 NFL total picks
One part of the five-line NFL totals parlay we can reveal: The model says we’ll see the Over (49.5) hits in New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday. This is one of the most high-profile matchups on the Week 3 NFL schedule, with the Saints announcing themselves as contenders in the NFC with a 44-19 win over the Cowboys last week and the Eagles coming off playoff appearances in six of the last seven years. The Saints have looked almost unstoppable under new offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, scoring on all 15 possessions where starting quarterback Derek Carr has been in the game.
Carr, Alvin Kamara and Rashid Shaheed are all off to great starts and it’s only a matter of time before Chris Olave gets in on the party. That could come this week against an Eagles pass defense that ranked 31st in the NFL last season and that ranks 27th in 2024. Meanwhile, the Eagles are also very capable offensively, ranking top six in the NFL in scoring and total offense, which is a big reason why the model has the over hitting in well over 50% of simulations. See which other NFL over/under parlay picks to make here. Â
How to parlay Week 3 NFL over/unders
The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the over-under is way off, including two that hit in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s NFL Week 3 best bets and over/under parlay at SportsLine. Â
So how many points are scored in each game and which over/unders should you include for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 3 NFL total picks from a model on an 187-130 run on top-rated picks, and find out.
Week 3 NFL totals, spreads, schedule
Get Week 3 NFL over/under predictions at SportsLine
Sunday, Sept. 22
Giants at Browns (-6.5, 39.5)
Bears at Colts (-1, 43.5)
Texans at Vikings (+2, 46)
Eagles at Saints (-2.5, 49.5)
Chargers at Steelers (-1.5, 36)
Broncos at Buccaneers (-6.5, 41)
Packers at Titans (-2.5, 38)
Panthers at Raiders (-5, 40)
Dolphins at Seahawks (-4.5, 41.5)
Lions at Cardinals (+3, 51.5)
Ravens at Cowboys (+1, 48)
49ers at Rams (+6.5, 43.5)
Chiefs at Falcons (+3, 46.5)
Monday, Sept. 23
Jaguars at Bills (-5, 45.5)
Commanders at Bengals (-7.5, 47)